The word "moderate easing" releases the economic signal next year. On December 9, an important meeting was held. The meeting analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, and mentioned that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. Since 2011, China has maintained a sound monetary policy tone for a long time. This time, the prefix of monetary policy has changed to "moderately loose", which means that economic policy will provide more liquidity next year. (Yuyuan Tan Tian)The stock private placement position hit a new high since October, and the subjective private placement of 10 billion yuan significantly outperformed the quantification. The stock private placement position hit a new high in October, and more than half of the private placements were in Man Cang. According to the data of the third-party organization's private placement network, since September 30, the stock private placement position index has been on the rise as a whole. As of November 29 (due to information disclosure compliance and other reasons, the net value of private placement and position calculation data are relatively lagging behind), the stock private placement position index value is 73.61%, which is a new high since September 30. Among them, the index value of 10 billion private placements is 77.78%, which is 4.17% higher than the position value of 73.61% of stock private placements. At the same time, private equity in Man Cang accounts for more than half. According to the data of private placement network, as of November 29, 52.13% of the stock private placement positions were at the level of Man Cang; 26.87% of the stock private placement positions are at a medium level.Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.
Italian prosecutor: Meta did not pay 888 million euros of value-added tax from 2015 to 2021.South Korea's public prosecutor's office issued an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian on suspicion of "civil strife and abuse of power". On the 9th local time, the special investigation headquarters of South Korea's public prosecutor's office said that it issued an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian on the grounds of "civil strife and abuse of power". On December 5, local time, South Korean prosecutors banned former Defense Minister Jin Longxian from going abroad on the grounds of alleged "civil strife". (World Wide Web)Spot silver rose to 3.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.89 per ounce.
The central bank increased its holdings of gold and released a positive signal. Shanghai Gold ETF received a net purchase of funds for eight consecutive months. According to the data, as of the end of November, 14 commodity gold ETFs listed and traded in A shares all received a net purchase of funds during the year. From April to November, two ETFs received net capital inflows for 8 months, and Shanghai Gold ETF(518600) was the one with the largest net purchase, with an interval net inflow of 370 million yuan, which attracted considerable attention. (China Securities Network)Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose 7%, the biggest increase since September, while Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose 7%, the biggest increase since September. Popular Chinese stocks rose collectively, with iQiyi, Xpeng Motors, Weilai and JD.COM rising by over 10%, LI and Netease by over 9%, Pinduoduo by over 8%, Alibaba by over 7% and Baidu by over 6%.The word "moderate easing" releases the economic signal next year. On December 9, an important meeting was held. The meeting analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, and mentioned that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. Since 2011, China has maintained a sound monetary policy tone for a long time. This time, the prefix of monetary policy has changed to "moderately loose", which means that economic policy will provide more liquidity next year. (Yuyuan Tan Tian)
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13